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Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWQ1187 | Westbourne-Dunbar Roadways & Bulkheads (SAND1187, SEQ200595) | Queens | (On-hold) | $44.7M | Critical· 99% | Low· 1% | 0.500 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| SER002324 | New sanitary sewers in Camden ave. Staten Island | Staten Island | (On-hold) | $6.8M | Critical· 97% | Low· 3% | 0.500 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| PW77LYA | 253 BROADWAY- LPC MOVE TO 2nd, 11th, 12th, 13th FLS | Manhattan | Construction | $72.3M | Critical· 100% | Low· 0% | 0.500 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LQARVEXPN | Arverne Library - Replacement facility | Queens | Construction | $27.0M | Critical· 94% | Low· 6% | 0.500 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| LBM13CGHC | Carroll Gardens HVAC & Teen Ctr | Brooklyn | Construction | $8.4M | Critical· 99% | Low· 1% | 0.500 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| HWPR19MXC | Complex Upgrades Ped Ramps - Manhattan and the Bronx | Citywide | Construction | $37.4M | Critical· 98% | Low· 2% | 0.500 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| SEN002169 | RECON OF COMBINED SEWER & WM IN YORK AVE | Manhattan | Construction | $24.9M | Critical· 100% | Low· 0% | 0.500 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| HWK100SBC | South Brooklyn Crosstown SBS (SEK002407) | Brooklyn | Construction | $92.0M | Critical· 99% | Low· 1% | 0.500 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| SAND349F2 | Citywide Resurfacing - Hurricane Sandy Phase 2 (FHWA Funded) | Citywide | (Completed) | $7.3M | Critical· 98% | Low· 2% | 0.500 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SANDELEC8 | ERIE BASIN TOW POUND ELECTRICAL (SANDY) | Brooklyn | Construction | $4.6M | Critical· 99% | Low· 0% | 0.500 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQPGRD2 | Southeast Queens Priority Grids -- Group 2 (DOTSEQ02) | Queens | Design | $34.2M | Critical· 98% | Low· 2% | 0.499 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| HWD005K01 | FULTON ST IMPROVEMENTS AT GREEN AV, HANSEN PL & GATES AV | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $4.4M | Critical· 100% | Low· 0% | 0.499 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWP19KC3 | Citywide Complex Pedestrian Ramps - Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Close-out | $15.1M | Critical· 100% | Low· 0% | 0.499 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SANDHW06 | Reconstruction of Vestry Street- Hurricane Sandy | Manhattan | (Completed) | $7.8M | Critical· 100% | Low· 0% | 0.499 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| CO281TOIL | 120 SCHERMERHORN ST.- CODE COMPLIANT TOILET UPGRADE | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $15.5M | Critical· 100% | Low· 0% | 0.499 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| HWPR21LMT | FY23 Non-Standard Pedestrian Ramp Upgrades | Citywide | Design | $9.7M | Critical· 92% | Low· 8% | 0.499 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SANDR02 | FAR ROCKAWAY BUSINESS DISTRICT IMPROVEMENTS (SE-830) | Queens | (Completed) | $35.5M | Critical· 100% | Low· 0% | 0.499 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SANDELEC5 | 100 the precint electrical system replacement, Sandy | Queens | (Completed) | $4.4M | Critical· 100% | Low· 0% | 0.499 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LBC15BWHC | Bushwick Heating & Cooling | Brooklyn | Construction | $5.3M | Critical· 94% | Low· 5% | 0.499 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| HWKKP005 | DUMBO D.M.A. - VINEGAR HILL AREA, BED-794,SANDHWK05 | Brooklyn | Close-out | $78.1M | Critical· 100% | Low· 0% | 0.499 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWK1048D | BK Waterfront Greenway:Sunset Pk Gowanus Connect BED-802 | Brooklyn | Close-out | $30.2M | Critical· 99% | Low· 0% | 0.499 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PO79BMAHJ | One Police Plaza | Manhattan | (Completed) | $2.8M | Critical· 99% | Low· 1% | 0.499 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR20KMC | Non-Standard Upgrades Ped Ramp - Manhattan & Brooklyn | Citywide | Construction | $36.6M | Critical· 98% | Low· 1% | 0.499 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWR919 | BLOOMINGDALE ROAD: AMBOY ROAD TO ARTHUR KILL ROAD | Staten Island | (Cancelled) | $27.2M | Critical· 93% | Low· 7% | 0.499 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| S136-383S | STATEN ISLAND 3 GARAGE HVAC | Staten Island | (Completed) | $44.8M | Critical· 99% | Low· 0% | 0.499 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HAM14GOCC | GOWANUS COMMUNITY CENTER RENOVATIONS | Brooklyn | Close-out | $4.9M | Critical· 99% | Low· 1% | 0.499 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWXPRATT | Pratt Ave Reconstruction and Retaining Wall, SEX20049 | Bronx | Design | $13.0M | Critical· 98% | Low· 2% | 0.499 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| HED-569 | Replacement of Trunk WM in Bainbridge Ave | Bronx | (Completed) | $74.0M | Critical· 100% | Low· 0% | 0.498 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR19MC2 | Complex Upgrades Ped Ramps - Manhattan | Manhattan | Construction | $18.4M | Critical· 99% | Low· 1% | 0.498 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR20QC | Non-Standard Upgrades Ped Ramp - Queens | Queens | Construction | $16.9M | Critical· 99% | Low· 1% | 0.498 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PO79-77AX | 77TH PRECINCT ANNEX RENOVATION | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $1.6M | Critical· 100% | Low· 0% | 0.498 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| F175EMS17 | EMS Station 17 - New Facility | Citywide | Construction | $46.3M | Critical· 98% | Low· 2% | 0.498 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| LBM15MPRF | Mapleton Envelope Rehabilitation | Brooklyn | Construction | $5.8M | Critical· 98% | Low· 1% | 0.498 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HH115JCFB | JENNIE CLARK RESIDENCE - FIRE ALARM UPGRADE | Manhattan | Construction | $3.3M | Critical· 93% | Low· 7% | 0.498 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| LQD122HO1 | Hollis Library - Building Infrastructure | Queens | Construction | $9.4M | Critical· 99% | Low· 1% | 0.498 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| E12-0043 | NYPD 84th Precinct - EE Upgrade | Brooklyn | (Cancelled) | $4.3M | Critical· 99% | Low· 0% | 0.498 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWK1669A | 4th Ave Safety Improvements - Phase A | Brooklyn | Construction | $70.2M | Critical· 99% | Low· 1% | 0.498 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SANDHW12 | Reconstruction of Edgemere - Hurricane Sandy (QED-1007) | Queens | (Completed) | $8.7M | Critical· 99% | Low· 0% | 0.498 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEN002178 | Replacement & guniting comb SE in W. Broadway | Manhattan | Construction | $10.3M | Critical· 99% | Low· 0% | 0.497 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| CC1C3 | 1 CENTRE ST.- OFFICES FROM 49-51 CHAMBERS ST. - 21C3 | Manhattan | (Pending) | $9.0M | Critical· 99% | Low· 0% | 0.497 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PWQ077AT2 | 120-55 QUEENS BLVD- QUEENS BOROUGH HALL ATRIUM | Queens | (Completed) | $19.3M | Critical· 99% | Low· 0% | 0.497 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SANDBOMB | Reconstruct Hurricane Sandy Damaged Bomb Sq bldg | Bronx | Construction | $31.6M | Critical· 99% | Low· 0% | 0.497 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| CO301PD | 130 STUYVESANT PL.- PARKING GARAGE DECK | Staten Island | Close-out | $8.4M | Critical· 99% | Low· 1% | 0.497 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| CO283TOIL | 100 CENTRE ST.- CODE COMPLIANT TOILET UPGRADE | Manhattan | Construction | $16.3M | Critical· 97% | Low· 2% | 0.497 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| PV274CHLL | NYHOS - New York Hall of Science - Chiller Replacement | Queens | (Completed) | $3.8M | Critical· 99% | Low· 0% | 0.497 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| BED-794 | DUMBO/Vinegar Hill Area Reconstruction & Plaza. HWKKP005 | Brooklyn | Close-out | $55.1M | Critical· 99% | Low· 0% | 0.497 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| LQBPEXPN | BAISLEY PARK - Branch Renovation | Queens | Construction | $16.5M | Critical· 95% | Low· 5% | 0.497 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| EC-SEX25 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, the Bronx | Bronx | (Completed) | $7.0M | Critical· 97% | Low· 2% | 0.497 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| SER200309 | Strm swr R+Ext & WM Work, Maguire Avenue | Staten Island | Design | $8.7M | Critical· 99% | Low· 1% | 0.497 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| PV302BPH1 | SIIAS - Building B at SHCC Phase1 Geo-Thermal & Ground Floor | Staten Island | (On-hold) | $3.2M | Critical· 98% | Low· 1% | 0.497 | Total budget has re-baselined upward across the last three reporting periods. |