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Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE-842 | Southeast Queens Initiative Program | Queens | Construction Procurement | $16.3M | High· 56% | Low· 6% | 0.311 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| BED838 | Distribution WM in Prospect Park West, Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Design | $9.2M | High· 59% | Low· 4% | 0.310 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ200545 | NEW STORM SEWER IN ELKMONT AVE. | Queens | (Completed) | $4.6M | High· 61% | Low· 0% | 0.303 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200456 | Storm sewer in 204 St betw Northern Blvd & 46 Ave | Queens | (Pending) | $2.5M | High· 60% | Low· 0% | 0.301 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200534 | STRM SWR EXT/REPLACE AT SANTIAGO ST. | Queens | (Closeout) | $9.9M | High· 60% | Low· 0% | 0.301 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SECB03QA | RECONSTRUCTION OF CATCH BASINS AND PEDESTRIAN RAMPS | Queens | (Pending) | $1.4M | High· 60% | Low· 0% | 0.299 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200387 | STORM SEWERS IN READS LANE | Queens | (Pending) | $1.0M | High· 60% | Low· 0% | 0.299 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWP24MC2 | Non-Standard Ped Ramps - Manhattan | Manhattan | Design | $20.7M | High· 56% | Low· 4% | 0.298 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ200523 | STRM & SAN SWR IN NEW HAVEN B/T B22 ST & GRASSMERE TERRACE, | Queens | (Completed) | $7.7M | High· 59% | Low· 0% | 0.294 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEX0201ZC | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, the Bronx | Bronx | (Completed) | $13.3M | High· 58% | Low· 0% | 0.294 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SE-823 | SEQ - 229th Street Laurelton Area - Part 1, Phase A (HWQ823) | Queens | (Completed) | $91.0M | High· 58% | Low· 0% | 0.294 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQNS003 | SEQ - Sewer When & Where Contract in SE Queens (HWQ1195) | Queens | Construction | $25.3M | High· 57% | Low· 1% | 0.292 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| SER00201X | Reconstruction of existing sewers | Staten Island | Construction Procurement | $7.1M | High· 58% | Low· 0% | 0.289 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SE-782 | STR & SAN SEWER IN MARCY AV - STAFFORD AV & LAMONT AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $11.1M | High· 57% | Low· 0% | 0.286 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWX407 | Mott Haven Pedestrian and Cyclist Safety Improvements | Bronx | (Initiation) | $96.6M | High· 56% | Low· 0% | 0.280 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ002518 | SAN SEWER IN WHITESTONE EXPRESSWAY - PHASE I | Queens | (Pending) | $684.9K | High· 56% | Low· 0% | 0.279 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEN002146 | COMBINED SEWERS IN BROADWAY - CORTLAND ST AND RECTOR ST | Manhattan | (Completed) | $4.9M | High· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.278 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200159 | STORM SEWER IN FOREST AV - UNION AV & HUDSON PL | Staten Island | (Pending) | $2.3M | High· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.278 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SECB04QA | RECONSTRUCTION OF CATCH BASINS AND PEDESTRIAN RAMPS | Queens | (Pending) | $3.1M | High· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.276 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ002548 | SANITARY SEWER IN 99 AV - FRANCIS LEWIS BLVD AND 211 PL | Queens | (Pending) | $1.8M | High· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.276 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |