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Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PW77DDCAC | HVAC Equipment Upgrade in DDC Computer Room | Queens | (Completed) | $3.4M | Low· 15% | Low· 14% | 0.146 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| SER002233 | SANITARY SEWER IN MAINE AV - DICKIE AV AND WATERS AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $4.1M | Low· 29% | Low· 0% | 0.146 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200175 | Storm sewer extensions in Kirshon Ave. and Paulding Ave | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.3M | Low· 29% | Low· 0% | 0.146 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PW7722V | 22 READE ST - SIDEWALK VAULT RECONSTRUCTION | Manhattan | (Completed) | $11.6M | Low· 28% | Low· 1% | 0.144 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SE-717C | STORM SEWERS IN WATERBURY AV | Bronx | (Pending) | $7.0M | Low· 29% | Low· 0% | 0.144 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200184 | STORM SERWERS IN BADEN PL-GREELEY AV & LINCOLN AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.3M | Low· 29% | Low· 0% | 0.144 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PS-312CW1 | CITYWIDE REPAIRS & REHAB OF INTERCEPTING SEWERS - CITYWIDE | Citywide | (Pending) | $5.5M | Low· 28% | Low· 0% | 0.143 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| CO295FIRE | 1118 GRAND CONCOURSE - FIRE ALARM UPGRADE | Bronx | Design | $9.7M | Low· 27% | Low· 2% | 0.142 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HED600 | Storm SE repair Allertonn Av bt Brurner & Ely Ave, BX HWX402 | Bronx | Construction | $1.1M | Low· 7% | Low· 21% | 0.142 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HH115HHFA | Hospitality at 100 Central Ave., 10301 - Fire Alarm Upgrade | Staten Island | (Completed) | $597.6K | Low· 28% | Low· 0% | 0.142 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEN002182 | Rplmt SE on Trinity Pl betw Thames & Rector Str MN HWMWTCB7 | Manhattan | Construction | $3.8M | Low· 17% | Low· 11% | 0.141 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HED-578 | Replcmt of Dist WM In Mundy Lane btwn Cranford & Nereid Ave | Bronx | (Completed) | $8.7M | Low· 26% | Low· 2% | 0.141 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HD-161E | GATEWAY ESTATE - PHASE E (BED-805) | Brooklyn | Construction | $57.2M | Low· 28% | Low· 0% | 0.140 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PS-348A | REHABILITATION OF DAMAGED NORTH RIVER INTERCEPTOR (12th Ave) | Manhattan | (Pending) | $1.2M | Low· 17% | Low· 11% | 0.139 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PW335A28 | ASBESTOS ABATEMENT CONTRACT | Citywide | (Pending) | $3.9M | Low· 28% | Low· 0% | 0.138 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ002699 | Catch Basin Project #34 at various locations of Queens | Queens | (Completed) | $2.0M | Low· 27% | Low· 0% | 0.138 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWP24MXC | Non-Standard Ped Ramps - Manhattan and Bronx | Citywide | Design | $20.4M | Low· 27% | Low· 0% | 0.138 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ002715 | Replmnt & repair of combined SE outfall north 81st &19 Ave | Queens | Construction | $10.8M | Low· 23% | Low· 5% | 0.138 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| SER200251 | EXT OF STRM SWR AND WM WORK IN 3RD ST | Staten Island | Construction | $23.0M | Low· 25% | Low· 2% | 0.137 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PV466BOIL | QTIP - Queens Theater in the Park Boiler | Queens | Construction | $6.2M | Low· 24% | Low· 3% | 0.137 | Borough-specific historical patterns contribute to this project's estimated risk. |
| RED394 | Area contract - Install Dist WM throughout BKLYN & SI | Citywide | Close-out | $22.6M | Low· 16% | Low· 12% | 0.137 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| P-108VCCS | Van Cortlandt Park - Construction of a new restroom | Bronx | (Design Built) | $4.8M | Low· 24% | Low· 3% | 0.136 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| SEQ200584 | SEQ-Storm and Sanitary Sewers in 119th Road | Queens | (Completed) | $13.8M | Low· 27% | Low· 0% | 0.136 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPMWBEQ | Installation of Standard Pedestrian Ramps - MWBE | Queens | (Pending) | $804.2K | Low· 19% | Low· 9% | 0.135 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SEQN23 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, North Queens | Queens | (Closeout) | $11.8M | Low· 1% | Low· 26% | 0.135 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SEKN22 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, North Brooklyn | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $7.6M | Low· 16% | Low· 10% | 0.133 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SEKS25 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, South Brooklyn | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $10.6M | Low· 14% | Low· 12% | 0.133 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEK20070 | Guniting & exterior repair of the 25th Ave outfall sewer | Brooklyn | Construction | $10.4M | Low· 25% | Low· 1% | 0.130 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SER200121 | STORM SEWERS IN LIGHTHOUSE AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $2.0M | Low· 26% | Low· 0% | 0.129 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PW29380FC | 80 CENTRE ST.- FIRE ALARMS/SPRINKLERS | Manhattan | Construction Procurement | $52.1M | Low· 17% | Low· 9% | 0.129 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| BED-785B | Recon WM, Comb & San Swrs in Atlantic Ave, Ph 2 (HWD10105A) | Brooklyn | Construction | $7.8M | Low· 24% | Low· 2% | 0.128 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| EC-SEQN24 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, North Queens. | Queens | (Pending) | $10.1M | Low· 15% | Low· 10% | 0.128 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| NDF-DAVID | NDF - DAVIDSON AVE COMMUNITY CENTER | Bronx | Design | $15.1M | Low· 7% | Low· 19% | 0.128 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PV262-RTW | BCM - Brooklyn Children's Museum Retaining Wall | Brooklyn | Construction | $17.7M | Low· 23% | Low· 3% | 0.127 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| BED-809 | Replacement of Water Mains in Avenue S | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $35.1M | Low· 25% | Low· 0% | 0.127 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-SEC26 | Emergency Reconstruction of Sewers, Citywide | Citywide | (Completed) | $23.8M | Low· 8% | Low· 18% | 0.126 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SER200232 | STORM,SANIT SEWERS & WATER MAIN IN XENIA ST | Staten Island | (Completed) | $7.4M | Low· 25% | Low· 0% | 0.125 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWCB26QXM | Curb Reconstruction - Queens, Bronx and Manhattan | Citywide | Construction Procurement | $6.4M | Low· 1% | Low· 24% | 0.124 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| PV525STUD | SMH - Studio Museum in Harlem New Building | Manhattan | Close-out | $59.7M | Low· 24% | Low· 1% | 0.124 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SE-769 | SAN AND STM SEWERS IN LENEVAR AV - RAMONA AV AND RAMAPO AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $18.6M | Low· 25% | Low· 0% | 0.124 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWM10INWD | Inwood 10th Avenue Improvements, NDF-IWHRG | Bronx | Design | $29.8M | Low· 24% | Low· 1% | 0.124 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| MED-668 | Installation of Distri WM & appurtenances Vesey st, HWMWTCB6 | Manhattan | Construction | $1.5M | Low· 15% | Low· 9% | 0.124 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| MIBBNC003 | Strm & Sani Swr const & WM replac in Mason Ave, SI | Staten Island | Close-out | $61.4M | Low· 23% | Low· 1% | 0.122 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SELCDDC12 | DDC Sewer Lining Contract, Citywide | Citywide | Construction | $10.4M | Low· 20% | Low· 5% | 0.122 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HWXP136D | Grand Concourse Phase 5, SEX002275 | Bronx | Construction | $57.6M | Low· 24% | Low· 1% | 0.121 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| RED-357 | REPLACEMENT OF VALVES AND REGULATORS | Staten Island | (Pending) | $2.4M | Low· 24% | Low· 0% | 0.121 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| P-4DSTG06 | Kissena Park Velodrome Conn- Destination Greenways | Queens | (Design Built) | $7.8M | Low· 21% | Low· 3% | 0.121 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SOLARGR10 | DSNY - PV INSTALLATION ON NEW GARAGE- STATEN ISLAND 1/3 | Staten Island | Construction | $8.5M | Low· 24% | Low· 0% | 0.121 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HED582 | Dis WM at iJerome Ave & East Clarke Pl, BX (HWCSCH4D) | Bronx | Construction | $165.8K | Low· 21% | Low· 3% | 0.120 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ002638 | SANITARY SEWERS IN EDGEMERE - PHASE II (B1) | Queens | (Pending) | $5.5M | Low· 24% | Low· 0% | 0.119 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |