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Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWS2021K | PRIOR NOTICE SIDEWALK - BROOKLYN | Brooklyn | Close-out | $9.4M | Low· 23% | Low· 1% | 0.119 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HBPED216S | PED BRIDGE - 216 ST (Q) | Queens | (Completed) | $3.5M | Low· 22% | Low· 2% | 0.119 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWP15XMTA | Complex Ped Ramps - Transit Authority - Manhattan | Citywide | Construction | $14.3M | Low· 24% | Low· 0% | 0.119 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ200592 | SEQ - Rosedale South, HWQ274F2 | Queens | Construction | $39.9M | Low· 23% | Low· 1% | 0.119 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| EC-GUN25 | Emergency Guniting of Sewers, Citywide | Citywide | (Completed) | $9.2M | Low· 6% | Low· 18% | 0.118 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| LQFH-ADA | Forest Hills - Main Entrance Accessibility | Queens | Design | $5.8M | Low· 17% | Low· 6% | 0.118 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| MED-667 | Replacement of Water main in Delancey Street (HWM2025) | Manhattan | Construction Procurement | $15.9M | Low· 15% | Low· 9% | 0.117 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWM42PSM | 42nd Street Pedestrian Security Measures, MED679 | Manhattan | Design | $54.1M | Low· 2% | Low· 21% | 0.117 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| EC-LC26 | Emergency Sewer Lining Contract, Citywide | Citywide | Construction Procurement | $5.6M | Low· 15% | Low· 8% | 0.117 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-LC25 | Emergency Sewer Lining Contract, Citywide | Citywide | (Completed) | $6.1M | Low· 17% | Low· 6% | 0.116 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEC20004W | Emergency Reconstruction of Sewers, Citywide | Citywide | (Pending) | $40.3M | Low· 23% | Low· 0% | 0.116 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPR21QX | Rehabilitation of Standard Ped Ramps - Queens & Bronx | Citywide | (Completed) | $14.9M | Low· 18% | Low· 5% | 0.116 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| RED-372 | WM, PART OF RECON TRAVIS AVE FORM PARK DR N TO DRAPER PL | Staten Island | Design | $150.0K | Low· 22% | Low· 2% | 0.116 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| P-4RCKGHQ | Rockaway Operational Headquarters, SANDY4-50 and Sandy4-11 | Queens | (Design Built) | $241.1K | Low· 21% | Low· 2% | 0.115 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| P-2CIB1HQ | Coney Island Beach Operations HQ at West 25th Street | Brooklyn | Construction Procurement | $60.9M | Low· 13% | Low· 10% | 0.115 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| MED682 | WM work in Central Park W btwn W 81 & 85 Streets, MN | Manhattan | Construction | $19.7M | Low· 9% | Low· 14% | 0.115 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| LBC17MRAD | MARCY AUDITORIUM REHABILITATION | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $641.0K | Low· 23% | Low· 0% | 0.115 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWS2021Q | PRIOR NOTICE SIDEWALK - QUEENS | Queens | Close-out | $10.8M | Low· 22% | Low· 1% | 0.114 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SER200236 | STRM SWR EXT & WM WORK IN NORTH AV, ETC. | Staten Island | Construction | $10.0M | Low· 22% | Low· 1% | 0.114 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LQMARN-23 | Maspeth - Branch Renovation | Queens | (Pre-Design) | $13.1M | Low· 22% | Low· 1% | 0.114 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPLZ018M | Quisqueya Plaza | Manhattan | Design | $24.0M | Low· 22% | Low· 0% | 0.113 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SER002251 | SANITARY SEWER IN RICHMOND AV - ROCKLAND AV & SAXON AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $586.2K | Low· 22% | Low· 0% | 0.113 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| P-216BVRC | Brownsville Recreation Center Demolition and Reconstruction | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $191.3M | Low· 20% | Low· 2% | 0.112 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LNCA10YRK | YORKVILLE - New Boiler | Manhattan | (Completed) | $692.8K | Low· 22% | Low· 0% | 0.112 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPR22MQ | Rehabilitation of Standard Ped Ramps - Manhattan & Queens | Citywide | Close-out | $25.8M | Low· 21% | Low· 2% | 0.112 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| GQBB034 | GI-Areawide ROW Green Infrastructure in Bowery Bay 034 | Queens | Design | $33.3M | Low· 20% | Low· 2% | 0.112 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LNEM14WKF | Bolier Replacement | Bronx | (Completed) | $1.1M | Low· 22% | Low· 0% | 0.111 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWCSCH3MM | SAFE ROUTES TO SCHOOLS-94 SCHOOLS | Citywide | (Pending) | $6.1M | Low· 22% | Low· 0% | 0.111 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEX002158 | COMBINED SEWER IN BOTANICAL SQ-E 201ST ST TO WEBSTER AVENUE | Bronx | (Pending) | $227.1K | Low· 22% | Low· 0% | 0.110 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| FY92-R3 | STORM SEWER IN WEED AVE FROM ISERNIA AVE TO EBBITTS ST, ETC | Staten Island | (Pending) | $911.9K | Low· 22% | Low· 0% | 0.110 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| TLCWOOD1 | TLC - NEW OFFICE FACILITY -FY22 April Plan | Queens | Design | $31.6M | Low· 21% | Low· 1% | 0.109 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SER002250 | SAN SEWERS IN GANSEVOORT BLVD-WESTWOOD AV & S. GANNON AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.9M | Low· 22% | Low· 0% | 0.109 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ002578 | COMBINED SEWERS IN 162 ST - 43 AV AND NORTHERN BLVD | Queens | (Pending) | $11.1M | Low· 21% | Low· 0% | 0.109 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HED-552 | WATER MAIN REPLACEMENT IN STILLWELL AVENUE, BX | Bronx | (Pending) | $2.1M | Low· 22% | Low· 0% | 0.109 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWK1048E | Brooklyn Waterfront Greenway - Commercial St/Ash St, BED-806 | Brooklyn | Design | $12.0M | Low· 20% | Low· 1% | 0.109 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| GQBB28-29 | Areawide ROW Green Infrastructure in Bowery Bay 028 and 029 | Queens | Design | $41.9M | Low· 18% | Low· 3% | 0.108 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PV235ELEV | BMA - Brooklyn Museum - Bldg. Elevators/Electrical Upgrades | Brooklyn | Construction | $2.7M | Low· 21% | Low· 0% | 0.108 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| MED683 | Dist Trunk WM Rplmt at BDWY & W 135 St, Manhattan, HWCSCHPMN | Manhattan | Design | $6.7M | Low· 17% | Low· 5% | 0.108 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| BLCOMPLNT | Rehabilitation of Pedestrian Ramps | Citywide | Close-out | $7.0M | Low· 19% | Low· 3% | 0.107 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| GCTI11-02 | GI-Construct ROW Bioswales Stormwater Greenstreets in TI-011 | Queens | (Pending) | $7.8M | Low· 16% | Low· 5% | 0.107 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LNEA13TNK | THROGS NECK: New Roof, HVAC | Bronx | (Pending) | $4.1M | Low· 21% | Low· 1% | 0.107 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SECBK1 | CATCH BASIN RECONSTRUCTION PROJECT IN BROOKLYN | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $3.4M | Low· 21% | Low· 0% | 0.106 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LN21LBHVA | Andrew Heiskell - HVAC System Upgrade | Manhattan | Design | $14.2M | Low· 13% | Low· 8% | 0.106 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| CONEYINF | Coney Island Infrastructure (CONISPH3A) | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $2.2M | Low· 20% | Low· 1% | 0.106 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PV176ITF1 | WCS - Bronx Zoo Parking Lot Improvements | Bronx | (Completed) | $12.6M | Low· 20% | Low· 1% | 0.105 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| GKOH15-04 | GI - GREEN INFRA, OH-015 GRAVESEND BAY CSO PH4 | Brooklyn | Design | $127.3M | Low· 16% | Low· 5% | 0.105 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWS2024R1 | Prior Notice Sidewalks - Staten Island | Staten Island | Construction | $6.1M | Low· 2% | Low· 19% | 0.105 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| LNCA12SWP | SEWARD PARK - Replace sidealk over vault and waterproof | Manhattan | (Completed) | $278.7K | Low· 21% | Low· 0% | 0.104 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SER24 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, Staten Island | Staten Island | (Pending) | $13.4M | Low· 20% | Low· 1% | 0.103 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-SEKS23 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, South Brooklyn | Brooklyn | (Closeout) | $12.0M | Low· 20% | Low· 1% | 0.102 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |