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Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEX002247 | — | — | Construction | $4.3M | Low· 20% | Low· 0% | 0.101 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200552 | STRM & SAN SWR AND WM WORK IN GRANITE AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $10.9M | Low· 18% | Low· 3% | 0.101 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| F204INFRA | Fort Totten Infrastructure Upgrade | Queens | Construction | $68.5M | Low· 9% | Low· 11% | 0.101 | Borough-specific historical patterns contribute to this project's estimated risk. |
| HWPR21KR | Rehabilitation of Standard Ped Ramps - Brooklyn&Staten Islan | Citywide | Construction | $17.9M | Low· 18% | Low· 2% | 0.100 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LQRH-RENO | Richmond Hill - Branch Renovation | Queens | Design | $30.5M | Low· 15% | Low· 5% | 0.100 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEK002291 | COMB SEWERS IN CRESCENT ST, BK | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $1.5M | Low· 20% | Low· 0% | 0.100 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWS2024K1 | Prior Notice Sidewalks - Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Construction | $14.7M | Low· 3% | Low· 17% | 0.099 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| PV477TEMP | SICM -Staten Island Children's Museum Temp Control System | Staten Island | Close-out | $8.5M | Low· 18% | Low· 2% | 0.099 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PV072HVAC | BHS - Brooklyn Historic Society HVAC Replacement | Brooklyn | Close-out | $10.2M | Low· 12% | Low· 8% | 0.099 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWQ724W | BROOKVILLE BLVD II QUEENS | Queens | (Closeout) | $7.9M | Low· 19% | Low· 1% | 0.099 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LN23GDCON | GRAND CONCOURSE - Exterior Rehabilitation & HVAC | Bronx | Pre-Design | $18.6M | Low· 18% | Low· 1% | 0.098 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPLZ020M | Flatiron Plaza/B'way b/t 21-27 Streets (MED644) | Manhattan | Design | $124.3M | Low· 11% | Low· 8% | 0.098 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| BBJ-X | Boro Based Jails New Bronx Detention Facility DesignBuild | Bronx | (Design Built) | $3.4B | Low· 2% | Low· 18% | 0.098 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWQ1182B | Broad Channel Bulkheads - Phase II (SEQ200586) | Queens | Close-out | $33.3M | Low· 19% | Low· 1% | 0.097 | Borough-specific historical patterns contribute to this project's estimated risk. |
| LQHIHVAC | HILLCREST - HVAC | Queens | Construction | $307.8K | Low· 19% | Low· 0% | 0.096 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| MURPHCOMF | Murphy's Brother Playground Comfort Station DESIGN BUILD | Manhattan | (Design Built) | $6.4M | Low· 2% | Low· 17% | 0.095 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| LQBW-EXP | Briarwood: Branch Renovation | Queens | Construction Procurement | $21.7M | Low· 12% | Low· 7% | 0.094 | Borough-specific historical patterns contribute to this project's estimated risk. |
| MED673 | WM Rplcmt in 79 ST fr Henry Hudson Pkwy to FDR, MN HWM100SNC | Manhattan | Design | $35.9M | Low· 5% | Low· 14% | 0.093 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| SANDHWK05 | — | — | Close-out | $2.5M | Low· 18% | Low· 0% | 0.093 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| MED669 | Dist. WM work in 7th Ave between W 14th & W 34th Street, MN | Manhattan | Construction | $123.5M | Low· 17% | Low· 1% | 0.093 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SANDY4-31 | Tide Gate - 404 HMGP HBPED800Q | Queens | Construction | $443.8K | Low· 13% | Low· 5% | 0.092 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR20MX | Pedestrian Ramp Rehabilitation - Manhattan and Bronx | Citywide | (Completed) | $12.4M | Low· 18% | Low· 0% | 0.092 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PS-312MX | REPAIRS & REHAB OF INTERCEPTING SEWERS - SOUTH ST MANHATTAN | Citywide | Construction | $33.0M | Low· 18% | Low· 0% | 0.092 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SER002244 | SAN SEWERS IN DRUMGOOLE RD WEST - HUGUENOT AV & HEENAN AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $7.0M | Low· 18% | Low· 0% | 0.091 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER002253 | SANITARY SEWER IN VERNON AV - IONIA AV AND PRINCEWOOD AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $5.7M | Low· 18% | Low· 0% | 0.091 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER002263 | SANITARY SEWER IN DALTON AV - MORLEY AV AND BISHOP ST | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.9M | Low· 18% | Low· 0% | 0.091 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER002235 | SANITARY SEWERS IN HODA PL - ANNADALE RD AND BENNETT AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.3M | Low· 18% | Low· 0% | 0.091 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER0201ZB | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, Staten Island | Staten Island | Close-out | $10.6M | Low· 18% | Low· 0% | 0.091 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LQD122LAE | LAURELTON: Branch Renovation | Queens | Design | $17.0M | Low· 17% | Low· 1% | 0.090 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SER26 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, Staten Island | Staten Island | Construction Procurement | $7.0M | Low· 4% | Low· 14% | 0.090 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| SER002286 | STORM & SAN SEWER IN BADEN PL, LINCOLN AVE, ELM TREE AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $322.2K | Low· 18% | Low· 0% | 0.090 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LNCM12CPT | CLASON'S POINT - NEW ROOF AND DRAINS | Bronx | (Completed) | $1.2M | Low· 18% | Low· 0% | 0.090 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| C11421STC | NEW JAIL FACILITIES | Citywide | Construction | $433.4M | Low· 10% | Low· 8% | 0.088 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| RWQ005 | RETAINING WALL - COOPER AV | Queens | (Completed) | $8.7M | Low· 17% | Low· 0% | 0.088 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HH115SRFA | ROSE MCCARTHY - FIRE ALARM SYSTEM UPGRADE | Brooklyn | Close-out | $1.3M | Low· 17% | Low· 1% | 0.087 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| GI-BX-PP | GI - POROUS PAVEMENT INSTALLATIONS, BRONX | Bronx | Design | $57.2M | Low· 10% | Low· 7% | 0.086 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR20Q3 | Pedestrian Ramp Rehabilitation - Queens | Queens | (Completed) | $14.4M | Low· 17% | Low· 1% | 0.086 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWK1154 | RECONSTRUCTION OF CRESCENT STREET | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $7.3M | Low· 17% | Low· 0% | 0.086 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PW335A29 | ASBESTOS ABATEMENT CONTRACT,MN,BX,QNS | Citywide | (Pending) | $4.1M | Low· 12% | Low· 5% | 0.085 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HH112THKR | 8 EAST THIRD KITCHEN DDC | Manhattan | Close-out | $1.0M | Low· 16% | Low· 0% | 0.084 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| BBJ-QGAR | Borough Based Jails Queens Garage Design Build | Queens | Close-out | $95.3M | Low· 15% | Low· 2% | 0.084 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SEQN22 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, North Queens | Queens | (Closeout) | $7.4M | Low· 7% | Low· 10% | 0.084 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWS2023Q | Prior Notice Sidewalks - Queens | Queens | Construction | $13.7M | Low· 16% | Low· 1% | 0.084 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWQ788CS | Court Square Pedestrian Improvements | Queens | Design | $18.6M | Low· 11% | Low· 6% | 0.084 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HWPR23MQ | Standard Upgrades Ped Ramps - Manhattan and Queens | Citywide | Construction | $22.5M | Low· 16% | Low· 1% | 0.083 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| CO272BLR | 45 MONROE PL - BOILER PLANT UPGRADE | Brooklyn | (Initiation) | $18.3M | Low· 15% | Low· 2% | 0.083 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR20K3 | Pedestrian Ramp Rehabilitation - Brooklyn | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $12.4M | Low· 16% | Low· 1% | 0.083 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| SER002248 | SAN SEWER IN NETHERLAND AV - GRANDVIEW AV AND LOKMAN AV | Staten Island | (Completed) | $394.8K | Low· 16% | Low· 0% | 0.080 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ002461 | CMB SEWERS IN 23 AV, QN | Queens | (Pending) | $3.0M | Low· 15% | Low· 0% | 0.079 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEK002290 | COMB SEWERS IN FLUSHING AV, BK | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $5.4M | Low· 15% | Low· 0% | 0.078 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |