Skip to main content
Loading Capital Risk portfolio data…
Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWP2021TA | Non-Standard Installs - TA | Citywide | Design | $8.1M | Critical· 89% | Low· 9% | 0.491 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| SEN002157 | Replacement of Combined Sewer in E. 26th Street, Manhattan | Manhattan | (Completed) | $22.2M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.491 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| REMPIV | Remsen Yard Reconstruction Phase IV | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $4.3M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.491 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEK20069 | Storm Sewer install & WM replace Gerritsen Beach, HWK2013GB | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $16.7M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.491 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| HWPEDSF1 | Multi-Site Pedestrian Safety | Citywide | (Completed) | $5.5M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.491 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| BED-796 | Trunk & Distribution WM replcmnt in Empire Blvd, HWK779W | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $14.3M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.491 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPR20KC | Non-Standard Upgrades Ped Ramp - Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Construction Procurement | $19.9M | Critical· 89% | Low· 9% | 0.490 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWTRK883 | Trench Restoration -- Bay Parkway, Brooklyn, SE-883 | Brooklyn | (Cancelled) | $5.4M | Critical· 97% | Low· 1% | 0.490 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWP23MXC | Non-Standard Ped Ramps - Manhattan and Bronx | Citywide | Design | $17.8M | High· 78% | Low· 20% | 0.490 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| PO79BMAHQ | ONE POLICE PLAZA PAVING AND LANDSCAPING | Manhattan | Close-out | $3.1M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.490 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| AGNYCHANG | NYCHANGE PROJECT WITH DFTA | Manhattan | (Cancelled) | $21.4M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.490 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SER002333 | SE & WM Van Buren St btwn York Ave & FranklIn Ave SI, HWTRR1 | Staten Island | Construction | $13.8M | Critical· 95% | Low· 4% | 0.490 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| LBK13EFBR | EAST FLATBUSH - BRANCH RENOVATION | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $14.8M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.490 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PW77417DA | 120-55 QUEENS BLVD.- QUEENS DA TRAINING ROOM | Queens | Close-out | $10.7M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.490 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| BED-819 | WM replacement in Oriental Blvd | Brooklyn | Close-out | $44.1M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.490 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LBK15WTHC | Windsor Terrace Heating & Cooling | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $3.9M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.490 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PV274KITR | NYHOS - NY Hall of Science,Great Hall, Kitchen & Restroom | Queens | Close-out | $6.9M | Critical· 93% | Low· 5% | 0.490 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LQEM19FLU | FLUSHING:Emergency Functionality | Queens | Construction | $2.3M | Critical· 94% | Low· 4% | 0.490 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| MED-604 | TRUNK & DIS WM IN EAST HOUSTONS ST (HWMP2019) | Manhattan | (Completed) | $33.9M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.490 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SANDRENO | HURRCANE SANDY DAMAGE STATEN ISLAND BEACHES-VARIOUS | Citywide | (Completed) | $14.5M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.490 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PW77DCA | 245 MESEROLE ST. - DCA TEST STATION REHABILITATION | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $4.6M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.490 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HH112BLRR | BELLEVUE ROOF | Manhattan | (Completed) | $31.0M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.490 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SANDPRFAB | HURRICANE SANDY DAMAGE BEACHFRONT RESTORATION PROJECT | Citywide | (Completed) | $168.7M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.490 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SE-885A | SEQ - 150th St Spine: Phase II, Trunk Storm Sewer in JFK | Queens | (Pending) | $51.2M | Critical· 97% | Low· 1% | 0.489 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| HWQ274F | RECONSTRUCTION OF STREETS IN THE ROSEDALE AREA QUEENS | Queens | (Closeout) | $5.9M | Critical· 97% | Low· 0% | 0.489 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWR700 | St George-Richmond Terrace Intersection Improvements | Staten Island | Design | $25.6M | Critical· 97% | Low· 1% | 0.489 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| HWQ1190-C | Reconstruction of Queens Blvd Phase 3, QED-1042C | Queens | Design | $98.8M | Critical· 97% | Low· 0% | 0.489 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HWR00510 | Woodrow Rd Improvements btw Gladwin Ave & Veterans Rd East | Staten Island | (Cancelled) | $2.3M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.489 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PO79BMAHW | 114TH PCT PLUMBING SYSTEM REPLACEMENT | Queens | (Completed) | $2.0M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.489 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SE-855 | HLSS, Strm, San & Comb Swrs, & WM Fresh Creek Basin, Ph 2B | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $54.7M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.489 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PV176CESU | WCS - Bronx Zoo - Con Ed Switchgear Upgrade | Bronx | Close-out | $23.1M | Critical· 94% | Low· 3% | 0.489 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| PW7722R | 22 READE STREET EXTERIOR | Manhattan | (Cancelled) | $31.4M | Critical· 95% | Low· 3% | 0.489 | Total budget has re-baselined upward across the last three reporting periods. |
| HWQ985 | SHORE ROAD RECONSTRUCTION (SEQ200585) | Queens | (Completed) | $11.8M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.489 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LNCA13MOT | MOTT HAVEN: HVAC | Bronx | Close-out | $4.2M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.489 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LNCA13MOR | MORRISANIA: HVAC and Roof | Bronx | (Completed) | $2.6M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.488 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SAND669C | Reconstruction of Roma,Hett,Etc - Hurricane Sandy | Staten Island | (Cancelled) | $7.9M | Critical· 98% | Low· 0% | 0.488 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWKNUAV | New Utrecht Ave Micro-Milling and Reconstruction | Brooklyn | Design | $67.6M | Critical· 93% | Low· 5% | 0.488 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| SEBLMX25 | Critical SE Deficiencies to be addressed for EC backlog, CW | Citywide | Design | $4.6M | Critical· 85% | Low· 12% | 0.488 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| LQC122-JH | JACKSON HEIGHTS - Branch Expansion & Renovation | Queens | Design | $43.7M | Critical· 92% | Low· 5% | 0.488 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| S136-438 | QUEENS 7 GARAGE REHABILITATION | Queens | (Completed) | $24.2M | Critical· 97% | Low· 1% | 0.488 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PW348-73 | FUEL TANK REPLACEMENT | Citywide | Construction | $21.6M | Critical· 97% | Low· 0% | 0.488 | Total budget has re-baselined upward across the last three reporting periods. |
| CONISPH04 | SAN & STRM SWR, WM1, IN CONEY ISL AREA, PH 4 | Brooklyn | Construction Procurement | $59.3M | Critical· 85% | Low· 13% | 0.488 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| BED-807 | WM work in Brooklyn Waterfront Greenway. SAND1048 | Brooklyn | Construction | $3.8M | Critical· 95% | Low· 3% | 0.488 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| PWHLDGFND | DCAS - DDC Programwide Project for Holding Funds | Citywide | Construction | $2.9M | Critical· 96% | Low· 1% | 0.487 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LNCA13NAM | NEW AMSTERDAM - HVAC and Cooling Tower | Manhattan | (Completed) | $5.4M | Critical· 97% | Low· 0% | 0.487 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HL82BRONX | Bronx Animal Care Center and Veterinary Clinic | Bronx | Construction | $103.0M | Critical· 97% | Low· 0% | 0.487 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HH115JCEK | Jennie Clarke Elec and Kitchen | Manhattan | (Cancelled) | $6.9M | Critical· 90% | Low· 7% | 0.487 | This project has been re-baselined multiple times across its public snapshots, which historically correlates with additional slippage. |
| PV467BRAC | BRAC - Bronx River Art Center Reconstruction | Bronx | (Completed) | $15.5M | Critical· 97% | Low· 0% | 0.487 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HBPED800Q | PED BRIDGE - PORPOISE BR & TIDE GATE(SANDY4-30, 4-31)QED1062 | Queens | Construction | $60.5M | Critical· 94% | Low· 3% | 0.487 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| HWMWTCB7 | Reconstruction of Trinity Pl, SEN002182 | Manhattan | Construction | $35.3M | Critical· 91% | Low· 6% | 0.487 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |