Capital Project Risk · Portfolio as of May 2026

Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.

Methodology · Model card · Delay reasons (frozen 2024-01)

Publish health · 7 sources

Model run e1665ab6 · trained 29 days ago · Model card ›

Portfolio KPIs

Scored active DDC projects1,323of 1,665 in May 2026 High delay risk870Delay risk in High or Critical High overrun risk5Overrun risk in High or Critical Budget represented$49.2BSum of latest total budget across scored projects Unscored projects342

Coverage summary

FMS-to-legacy coverage

66.2%

1102 of 1665 projects have stitched legacy history.

FMS-to-Checkbook coverage

62.5%

1041 of 1665 projects link to Checkbook contracts (soft target 50%).

Scoring coverage

79.5%

1323 of 1665 active DDC FMS IDs scored (target 70%).

Ranked portfolio

Borough

Phase

Budget bucket

Delay risk

Overrun risk

Stitch

Scoring