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Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S216-415A | WEST 59th STREET MTS | Manhattan | Construction | $100.4M | High· 74% | Low· 0% | 0.373 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR19Q2 | Pedestrian Ramp Rehabilitation - Queens | Queens | (Pending) | $14.9M | High· 74% | Low· 0% | 0.372 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| CV19COEBU | Centers of Excellence: Bushiwick | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $67.5M | High· 74% | Low· 0% | 0.369 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200473 | Storm Sewer & Water Main in 34 Ave betw. Brookside & 255 St | Queens | (Completed) | $12.2M | High· 74% | Low· 0% | 0.368 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200319 | New Storm SE in S. Gannon Ave btw Woodward & Warwick Ave, SI | Staten Island | (Initiation) | $147.4M | High· 72% | Low· 2% | 0.366 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HD-153B1 | EDGEMERE - PHASE II (B1) | Queens | (Pending) | $3.4M | High· 73% | Low· 0% | 0.363 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWKAVEJ81 | Avenue J Improvements | Brooklyn | Design | $18.5M | High· 70% | Low· 3% | 0.362 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| QED-1027 | Replacement of Dist WM in 222nd St | Queens | Design | $42.3M | High· 70% | Low· 2% | 0.359 | Borough-specific historical patterns contribute to this project's estimated risk. |
| LNEMA08WS | WOODSTOCK - Interior Rehabilitation | Bronx | (Completed) | $9.5M | High· 71% | Low· 0% | 0.358 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWR005B1 | TODT HILL ROAD - CIRCLE RD, SER200285 | Staten Island | (On-Hold) | $16.4M | High· 69% | Low· 2% | 0.357 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| PV411ITC2 | FAB - ITC 64 E. Fourth Street Buillding Renovation Phase 2 | Manhattan | Construction | $4.5M | High· 71% | Low· 0% | 0.357 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ200595 | Westbourne Ave-Norton Drive Recon (HWQ1187, SAND1187) | Queens | (On-hold) | $550.0K | High· 70% | Low· 1% | 0.357 | Total budget has re-baselined upward across the last three reporting periods. |
| SEQ200416 | STORM SEWER IN 200 ST - BELL BLVD AND 15 RD | Queens | (Pending) | $147.9K | High· 71% | Low· 0% | 0.356 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200245 | NEW STRM SWR & WM REPLACEMT IN ACACIA AV, ETC. | Staten Island | (Completed) | $34.0M | High· 71% | Low· 0% | 0.354 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-LC25QX | Emergency Sewer Lining Contract, Queens and Bronx | Citywide | (Pending) | $9.0M | Moderate· 34% | Moderate· 37% | 0.354 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| GQTI10-01 | GI - DSGN & CONST OF BIOSWALES & GREENSTREETS | Queens | (Completed) | $14.2M | High· 70% | Low· 1% | 0.353 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SE-814 | REPL OF COMB SEWER IN CALAMUS AV B/T 74 ST & 69 ST, ETC | Queens | (Completed) | $26.1M | High· 70% | Low· 0% | 0.352 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PV394AMBR | SSS - Ambrose Restoration | Manhattan | Construction Procurement | $13.4M | High· 69% | Low· 2% | 0.351 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SECBMTAQ1 | MTA- LIRR CATCH BASINS | Queens | (Completed) | $1.9M | High· 70% | Low· 0% | 0.351 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PV467POPP | POP - Poppenhusen Institute Window Restoration/Archive Stor. | Queens | Close-out | $9.3M | High· 68% | Low· 2% | 0.351 | Borough-specific historical patterns contribute to this project's estimated risk. |
| SELCDDC10 | SEWER LINING CONTRACT, CITYWIDE | Citywide | Construction | $4.8M | High· 64% | Low· 6% | 0.351 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| P-303ERPR | East River Park Fireboat House PRB | Manhattan | (Design Built) | $3.3M | Moderate· 50% | Low· 20% | 0.350 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PWXTNLLRE | Throgs Neck Little League- Infrastructure Rehabilitation | Bronx | (Cancelled) | $401.0K | High· 66% | Low· 4% | 0.349 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| NDF-SCH4D | School Safety 4D NDF Funding, HWCSCH4D | Bronx | Construction | $3.8M | High· 66% | Low· 3% | 0.348 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LN25WTSNB | WESTCHESTER SQUARE: Replacement Branch | Bronx | (Initiation) | $32.0M | High· 59% | Low· 10% | 0.346 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| P-502WIL2 | WILLOWBROOK PARK FLOOD CONTROL - PHASE II | Staten Island | (Completed) | $3.1M | High· 69% | Low· 0% | 0.346 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SER200114 | STORM SEWERS IN RICHMOND TERRACE - HEBERTON AV & CLOVE RD | Staten Island | (Pending) | $6.9M | High· 69% | Low· 0% | 0.343 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SANDBROAD | SANDY DAMAGES BROAD CHANNEL BRANCH LIBRARY | Queens | (Completed) | $517.4K | High· 68% | Low· 0% | 0.340 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| PV960JSNY | Japan Society HVAC Upgrade | Manhattan | Close-out | $1.6M | High· 67% | Low· 1% | 0.340 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| PV741CI40 | — | — | Close-out | $1.3M | High· 67% | Low· 1% | 0.339 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LQQVROOF | QUEENS VILLAGE - ROOF | Queens | (Pending) | $328.0K | High· 65% | Low· 2% | 0.339 | Total budget has re-baselined upward across the last three reporting periods. |
| PWXDAVDCC | DCAS/DAVIDSON COMMUNITY CENTER - CONSTRUCT 2 ADDITIONAL FLOO | Bronx | (Pending) | $500.0K | High· 66% | Low· 1% | 0.337 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HWM1689 | FDR Median Guardrail Reconstruction | Manhattan | (Pending) | $7.6M | High· 66% | Low· 1% | 0.335 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEK002398 | SE Recon on Ave J btwn E 80th & 81 Street, Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Design | $5.6M | High· 61% | Low· 6% | 0.334 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEK002407 | Upgdes & replcnt of combined SE & distribution WM Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Construction | $4.1M | High· 61% | Low· 6% | 0.334 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PW348-51 | Upgrade/replacement/remediation/installation | Citywide | (Completed) | $29.0M | High· 66% | Low· 0% | 0.330 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWMM100 | GATEWAYS TO CHINATOWN | Manhattan | Design | $6.5M | High· 64% | Low· 2% | 0.329 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWMM006 | CONSTRUCT NEW HARRIET TUBMAN MEMORIAL TRIANGLE | Manhattan | (Closeout) | $3.7M | High· 65% | Low· 0% | 0.328 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEK002307 | COMBINED SEWERS IN JEWEL ST - NASSAU AV AND NORMAN AV | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $1.3M | High· 65% | Low· 0% | 0.327 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| RED393 | Dist WM Rplmt on Hylan Blvd btwn Arbutus Hales Ave, SI | Staten Island | Design | $28.0M | High· 60% | Low· 5% | 0.326 | Total budget has re-baselined upward across the last three reporting periods. |
| HWS2021R | PRIOR NOTICE SIDEWALK - STATEN ISLAND | Staten Island | Close-out | $4.7M | High· 64% | Low· 1% | 0.324 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER002311 | SAN & STRM SWR IN BERTRAM AV B/T ZEPHYR AV & HYLAN BLVD. ETC | Staten Island | (Completed) | $23.6M | High· 65% | Low· 0% | 0.323 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LNC005CC1 | COUNTEE CULLEN - New Windows, Doors, HVAC, and Lighting | Manhattan | (Pending) | $1.2M | High· 65% | Low· 0% | 0.323 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER002316 | SAN & STRM SWR IN ALVERSON AV B/T WOODROW RD & MASON BLVD | Staten Island | (Completed) | $14.2M | High· 64% | Low· 0% | 0.323 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LQHP-REM | Hunters Point ADA Remediation | Queens | Close-out | $1.4M | High· 64% | Low· 0% | 0.322 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SE-413A | STM/SAN IN CEDAR GROVE AV - EBBITTS ST & NEW DROP LANE | Staten Island | Close-out | $1.3M | High· 64% | Low· 1% | 0.321 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| P-303ERP4 | East River Park Fireboat Wet Floodproofing | Manhattan | (Pending) | $730.0K | Moderate· 53% | Low· 11% | 0.320 | Total budget has re-baselined upward across the last three reporting periods. |
| ARMORIES | RECONSTRUCTION OF ARMORIES IN BKLYN. AND THE BRONX | Citywide | (Pending) | $43.7M | High· 63% | Low· 0% | 0.317 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HED586 | Dist WM Rplmt on Grant Hghwy, Cross Bx Expwy, Sedgewick Ave | Bronx | Design | $47.4M | High· 56% | Low· 8% | 0.317 | Borough-specific historical patterns contribute to this project's estimated risk. |
| HED603 | Rplmnt of Combined SE & Dist WM in Willis Ave, Bronx | Bronx | (Initiation) | $20.6M | High· 56% | Low· 8% | 0.317 | Borough-specific historical patterns contribute to this project's estimated risk. |