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Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PV464PRKG | WH - Wave Hill - Parking Lot Improvements | Bronx | (Pending) | $5.2M | Moderate· 35% | Low· 0% | 0.175 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SE-859 | Combined Sewer Replmnt & WM work 70 st & calamus ave, Qns | Queens | Construction | $125.8M | Moderate· 34% | Low· 1% | 0.175 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER0201ZA | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, Staten Island | Staten Island | (Completed) | $10.1M | Moderate· 35% | Low· 0% | 0.175 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-SEC24 | Emergency Construction of Sewers, Citywide | Citywide | (Pending) | $60.5M | Low· 13% | Low· 22% | 0.173 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SER002231 | SANITARY SEWERS IN RICHMOND TERRACE-BROADWAY & VAN ST | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.7M | Moderate· 35% | Low· 0% | 0.173 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPR25KR | Simple Upgrades Ped Ramps- Brooklyn and Staten Island . | Citywide | Construction Procurement | $27.3M | Moderate· 30% | Low· 4% | 0.172 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200196 | STORM SEWER IN GRANTWOOD AVENUE BET SHELDON AVE & DRUMGOOLE | Staten Island | (Completed) | $11.6M | Moderate· 34% | Low· 0% | 0.172 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| QED-1056 | Dist WM work in 43rd Ave btwn National St & 104 St, QNS | Queens | Construction | $21.9M | Low· 27% | Low· 7% | 0.172 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR20Q2 | Pedestrian Ramp Rehabilitation - Queens | Queens | Construction | $16.1M | Moderate· 33% | Low· 2% | 0.170 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEX002274 | Recon W254 St btwn Railroad Terrace& Riverdale Av, BX HWX406 | Bronx | Design | $16.1M | Low· 27% | Low· 7% | 0.170 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LQDL-NEW | DOUGLASTON: Replacement Facility | Queens | Construction | $42.0M | Low· 20% | Low· 14% | 0.170 | Borough-specific historical patterns contribute to this project's estimated risk. |
| SE-717B | STM SEWER IN LASALLE AV , BX | Bronx | (Pending) | $10.9M | Moderate· 33% | Low· 0% | 0.169 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPR22KQC | FY24 Non-Standard Pedestrian Ramp Upgrades | Citywide | Design | $17.7M | Moderate· 31% | Low· 3% | 0.168 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HWMMLEXAV | Lexington Av Pedestrian Safety Improvement MED678 DSGN BUILD | Manhattan | (Design Built) | $26.8M | Moderate· 31% | Low· 2% | 0.168 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| PW77102S3 | CITY HALL STEPS RECONSTRUCTION | Manhattan | (Completed) | $6.6M | Moderate· 33% | Low· 0% | 0.168 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER002234 | SANITARY SEWERS IN PERSHING ST - LINWOOD AV AND PIAVE AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $865.7K | Moderate· 33% | Low· 0% | 0.166 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| CV19COERO | Centers of Excellence: Roosevelt | Queens | (Completed) | $27.1M | Moderate· 33% | Low· 0% | 0.166 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HH112CGIU | Keener Assessment Shelter - Fire Alarm Upgrade | Manhattan | Construction Procurement | $3.6M | Moderate· 30% | Low· 3% | 0.166 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| EC-SEKS24 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, South Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Construction | $11.0M | Low· 10% | Low· 23% | 0.165 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| QED-1054 | Dist WM work in Ellwell Crescent from Alderton to Carlton St | Queens | Construction | $22.4M | Low· 30% | Low· 3% | 0.164 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HWP24MC1 | Non-Standard Ped Ramps - Manhattan | Manhattan | Design | $21.0M | Moderate· 32% | Low· 1% | 0.164 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HH112BELS | Bellevue Emergency Stabilization Work | Manhattan | Close-out | $120.3M | Low· 8% | Low· 25% | 0.163 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| QED1059 | Area Contract Install Dist WM through BX & QNS | Citywide | (Completed) | $25.1M | Low· 15% | Low· 17% | 0.162 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-WMC23 | Emergency Construction of Water Mains, Citywide | Citywide | (Completed) | $14.7M | Moderate· 32% | Low· 1% | 0.162 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HAM17MRCC | MARCY HOUSES - RENOVATE 492 MARCY AVE INTO A COMM CENTER | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $14.2M | Moderate· 32% | Low· 0% | 0.161 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWM1157 | RECONS & REMOVAL OF COBBLESTONES ON TENTH AVENUE | Manhattan | (Completed) | $15.4M | Moderate· 31% | Low· 1% | 0.161 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPR24QX | Simple Upgrades Ped Ramps - Queens and Bronx | Citywide | Construction | $24.9M | Low· 14% | Low· 19% | 0.161 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| LQQBHHVAC | QUEENSBORO HILL - HVAC | Queens | Close-out | $4.1M | Low· 14% | Low· 18% | 0.160 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200442 | STORM SEWERS IN 190 ST - 48 AV AND 50 AV | Queens | (Closeout) | $1.6M | Moderate· 31% | Low· 1% | 0.160 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| BED833 | Rel.& Inst.WMs Flatland Ave bet Ralph Ave & E 76 St HWK2048 | Brooklyn | Construction | $3.3M | Low· 30% | Low· 2% | 0.159 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWR200309 | Maguire Avenue Sidewalk | Staten Island | Design | $250.0K | Low· 27% | Low· 4% | 0.156 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HED593 | Dist WM installation at E 142 St & Southern Blvd, the BX | Bronx | Design | $16.0M | Low· 13% | Low· 18% | 0.156 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SER200185 | STORM SEWERS IN WILLOW AVE - BAY ST AND EDGEWATER ST | Staten Island | (Pending) | $3.1M | Moderate· 31% | Low· 0% | 0.155 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| CS-NC-BAF | BORDEN AVENUE PUMP STATION FORCE MAIN | Queens | Design | $69.8M | Moderate· 31% | Low· 0% | 0.155 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LQNFP-ADA | North Forest - Main Entrance Accessibility | Queens | Design | $16.9M | Low· 29% | Low· 2% | 0.155 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SER002267 | SANITARY SEWERS IN WHITEHALL ST - GUYON AV AND ISABELLA AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.1M | Moderate· 31% | Low· 0% | 0.154 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEK002311 | COMBINED SEWERS IN 5 AVENUE BETWEEN 65 ST AND 86 STREET | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $3.6M | Moderate· 30% | Low· 0% | 0.154 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LBM19CAOH | Canarsie Overhaul | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $26.7M | Low· 25% | Low· 6% | 0.154 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWP24QC2 | Non-Standard Ped Ramps - Queens | Queens | (Initiation) | $20.3M | Low· 29% | Low· 1% | 0.153 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SEX002236 | STORM SEWERS IN BARTOW AVE | Bronx | (Pending) | $7.8M | Moderate· 30% | Low· 0% | 0.153 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LNCA13TRE | TREMONT: Boiler | Bronx | (Completed) | $1.0M | Low· 29% | Low· 1% | 0.152 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| QED1062 | WM Lining in Porpoise Bridge Flushing Meadows QNS, HBPED800Q | Queens | Construction | $2.0M | Low· 23% | Low· 8% | 0.152 | Borough-specific historical patterns contribute to this project's estimated risk. |
| SE-759 | SANITARY AND STORM SEWERS IN ARBUTUS AVE | Staten Island | (Pending) | $22.5M | Moderate· 30% | Low· 0% | 0.152 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HH112BLFX | BELLEVUE - FACADE RESTORATION & WINDOW REPLACEMENT | Manhattan | Close-out | $1.4M | Low· 19% | Low· 11% | 0.151 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| SER00201Z | Reconstruction of existing sewers, Staten Island. | Staten Island | (Completed) | $7.3M | Low· 29% | Low· 0% | 0.149 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEX002268 | Reconstruction of Grand Concourse - Phase 4 (HWXP136C) | Bronx | (Completed) | $5.5M | Low· 18% | Low· 11% | 0.148 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWK1048G | OWL'S HEAD-BROOKLYN GREENWAY (SEK002378) | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $23.1M | Low· 29% | Low· 1% | 0.148 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWMWTCA1A | RECONSTRUCTION OF GREENWICH STREET - EMERGENCY | Manhattan | (Pending) | $2.6M | Low· 29% | Low· 0% | 0.147 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWHARPERG | Harper Fleet Garage Emergency Dec Project | Queens | Design | $40.0M | Low· 26% | Low· 4% | 0.147 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWP24KQC | Non-Standard Ped Ramps - Brooklyn and Queens | Citywide | Design | $21.2M | Low· 28% | Low· 2% | 0.147 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |