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Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GE-340 | EMERGENCY RECONSTRUCTION OF WATER MAIN | Citywide | (Pending) | $9.6M | Moderate· 42% | Low· 0% | 0.212 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWCB25KR | Curb Reconstruction - Brooklyn and Staten Island | Citywide | Construction | $6.5M | Low· 13% | Low· 29% | 0.211 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SEX002232 | COMBINED SEWERS IN THIERIOT AV - LAFAYETTE AV AND SEWARD AV | Bronx | (Pending) | $621.9K | Moderate· 42% | Low· 0% | 0.211 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SANDRESM2 | EASTSIDE COASTAL RESILIENCY Project Area 2, E15 ST TO E25 ST | Citywide | Close-out | $192.5M | Moderate· 42% | Low· 0% | 0.210 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HED-581 | Dist WM rplmt in Mace Ave btwn Olinville & Cruger Ave, BX | Bronx | Construction | $21.4M | Low· 27% | Low· 14% | 0.207 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SER002165 | CATCH BASIN #2 - STATEN ISLAND | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.0M | Moderate· 41% | Low· 0% | 0.207 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| QED-1042B | QUEENS BLVD PHASE 2 (HWQ1190B) | Queens | Design | $69.9M | Moderate· 38% | Low· 4% | 0.207 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-SEKN23 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, North Brooklyn | Brooklyn | (Closeout) | $6.9M | Moderate· 36% | Low· 5% | 0.207 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ201BS9 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, South Queens | Queens | (Pending) | $19.8M | Moderate· 41% | Low· 0% | 0.207 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200164 | STORM SEWER IN VERNON AV - IONIA AV AND PRINCEWOOD AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $2.6M | Moderate· 41% | Low· 0% | 0.206 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200139 | STORM SEWERS IN WHITEHALL ST - GUYON AV AND ISABELLA AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $2.0M | Moderate· 41% | Low· 0% | 0.206 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER002265 | SANITARY SEWER IN FOREST HILL - WILLOWBROOK RD & UXBRIDGE ST | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.6M | Moderate· 41% | Low· 0% | 0.206 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200141 | STM SEWERS (BMP) IN LENEVAR AV - RAMONA AV AND RAMAPO AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.6M | Moderate· 41% | Low· 0% | 0.206 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PW335A30 | ASBESTOS ABATEMENT CONTRACT, MN, BK, SI | Citywide | (Capitally Ineligible) | $3.8M | Low· 28% | Low· 13% | 0.205 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| SEQ002666 | QUEENS TRENCH RESTORATION #11 | Queens | (Pending) | $3.7M | Moderate· 41% | Low· 0% | 0.204 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEK002294 | COMB SEWERS IN KEAP ST , BK | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $1.3M | Moderate· 40% | Low· 0% | 0.203 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| GE-359 | Area-wide Contract for Water Mains | Citywide | (Completed) | $18.0M | Moderate· 40% | Low· 0% | 0.203 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SE877 | Combined Swr Install & WM Replac,77 Av & 81-88st Qn HWQSE877 | Queens | Design | $81.8M | Moderate· 37% | Low· 4% | 0.202 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| CO294RF | 215 E161 ST.- ROOF | Bronx | Construction Procurement | $23.1M | Moderate· 33% | Low· 7% | 0.200 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LQCH-RES | CAMBRIA HEIGHTS- Resiliency | Queens | (Initiation) | $8.5M | Low· 3% | Moderate· 37% | 0.199 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ200433 | STORM SEWERS IN LITTLE NECK PKWY - 61 AV & GCP SERVICE RD | Queens | (Pending) | $4.2M | Moderate· 39% | Low· 0% | 0.199 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200465 | STORM SEWER IN UNION TPKE | Queens | (Pending) | $2.5M | Moderate· 39% | Low· 0% | 0.199 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| GE-345 | EMERGENCY RECONSTRUCTION OF WATER MAINS | Citywide | (Pending) | $11.2M | Moderate· 39% | Low· 0% | 0.198 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HH112BLBR | BELLEVUE BATHROOMS RECONSTRUCTION | Manhattan | (Cancelled) | $23.7M | Moderate· 33% | Low· 6% | 0.197 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HORIBOIL | HORIZON BOILER REPLACEMENT | Bronx | (Pending) | $1.9M | Moderate· 35% | Low· 4% | 0.195 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ200388 | STORM SEWERS IN 202 ST - 115 AV AND 116 AV | Queens | (Pending) | $4.6M | Moderate· 39% | Low· 0% | 0.195 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PW3172L | 2 LAFAYETTE STREET - FACADE REPAIRS | Manhattan | Design | $14.5M | Moderate· 30% | Low· 9% | 0.194 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HH112CWFR | COMMONWEALTH AVENUE FIRE SAFETY SYSTEM | Bronx | Construction | $2.6M | Moderate· 38% | Low· 0% | 0.192 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPR21QC | FY23 Non-Standard Pedestrian Ramp Upgrades | Citywide | Design | $9.3M | Moderate· 36% | Low· 2% | 0.191 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| LQCA19QVB | QUEENS VILLAGE: Exterior Rehabilitation, ADA Access, Windows | Queens | (Pre-Design) | $28.4M | Low· 25% | Low· 13% | 0.190 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| P-1SDVREC | Construction of a New Recreation Center at Soundview Park | Bronx | Design | $96.1M | Low· 8% | Moderate· 30% | 0.189 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HWS2019Q2 | Prior Notice Sidewalks- Queens | Queens | (Pending) | $6.5M | Moderate· 37% | Low· 0% | 0.187 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| CO285FIRE | 60 LAFAYETTE ST - FIRE ALARM UPGRADE | Manhattan | Construction | $26.0M | Low· 17% | Low· 21% | 0.186 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SER002249 | SANITARY SEWER IN LENORE COURT - JULES DR & REGIS DR | Staten Island | (Pending) | $162.5K | Moderate· 37% | Low· 0% | 0.186 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LQRS-EXTR | ROSEDALE: Branch Expansion and Renovation | Queens | Design | $27.3M | Moderate· 33% | Low· 4% | 0.185 | Borough-specific historical patterns contribute to this project's estimated risk. |
| SEK201BS2 | EMERGENCY Recon. Existing Collapsed Vit Clay Pipe Sewers | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $4.3M | Moderate· 37% | Low· 0% | 0.184 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200150 | STORM SEWERS IN HODA PL - ANNADALE RD AND BENNETT AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $998.9K | Moderate· 37% | Low· 0% | 0.184 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200147 | STORM SEWER IN ROSEDALE AV- HOLCOMB AV & ANACONDA ST | Staten Island | (Pending) | $858.4K | Moderate· 37% | Low· 0% | 0.184 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200134 | STORM SEWERS (BMP) IN LENEVAR AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $502.1K | Moderate· 37% | Low· 0% | 0.184 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200332 | STORM SEWERS IN BEDELL ST, QUEENS | Queens | (Completed) | $6.7M | Moderate· 37% | Low· 0% | 0.184 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LQEM19FFA | FLUSHING: FIRE ALARM | Queens | Construction | $7.8M | Moderate· 36% | Low· 0% | 0.183 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPR25MQX | Simple Upgrades Ped Ramps - Manhattan, Bronx and Queens | Citywide | Construction Procurement | $28.0M | Low· 27% | Low· 10% | 0.183 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ002611 | COMBINED SEWERS IN 32 ST, ETC. | Queens | (Completed) | $816.9K | Moderate· 36% | Low· 1% | 0.182 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEK200387 | Installation for tidegate on 9'6" x 5' sewer at Ave K BKLYN | Brooklyn | Construction Procurement | $1.9M | Low· 28% | Low· 8% | 0.181 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| GE-338 | EMERGENCY RECONSTRUCTION OF WATER MAIN | Citywide | (Pending) | $9.5M | Moderate· 36% | Low· 0% | 0.181 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWMWTCA7F | RECONSTRUCTION OF WARREN ST - WEST ST TO BROADWAY | Manhattan | (Completed) | $26.8M | Moderate· 36% | Low· 0% | 0.180 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SANDHW14 | Reconstruction of South Beach - Hurricane Sandy - RED-375 | Staten Island | (Completed) | $19.9M | Moderate· 36% | Low· 0% | 0.179 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SETVDDC16 | CLEANING AND TELEVISING OF SEWERS BY DDC | Citywide | Close-out | $3.4M | Low· 11% | Low· 25% | 0.178 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SECB03K/R | RECONST OF CATCH BASINS AND PED RAMPS - BK & SI | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $1.7M | Moderate· 35% | Low· 0% | 0.176 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LNCM12NDP | New Dorp:Fire Safety | Staten Island | (Completed) | $333.0K | Moderate· 35% | Low· 0% | 0.176 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |