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Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HH115FRFA | FREEMAN FAMILY RESIDENCE - FIRE ALARM SYSTEM UPGRADE | Bronx | (Completed) | $803.1K | Low· 15% | Low· 1% | 0.078 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-SEQS26 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, South Queens | Queens | Construction Procurement | $13.5M | Low· 11% | Low· 5% | 0.077 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| PV501BOIL | PS1 - PS1 Boiler Replacement | Queens | Construction | $4.3M | Low· 15% | Low· 0% | 0.077 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWS2025X | Prior Notice Sidewalks - Bronx | Bronx | Construction Procurement | $8.7M | Low· 11% | Low· 5% | 0.077 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPR23Q1 | Standard Upgrades Ped Ramps - Queens | Queens | Construction | $21.5M | Low· 14% | Low· 1% | 0.076 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| SEQ002709 | Combined Sewer Installation in 45th Avenue | Queens | (Completed) | $2.8M | Low· 15% | Low· 0% | 0.075 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SE-GUN-19 | Emergency Guniting of Sewers, Citywide | Citywide | (Pending) | $6.5M | Low· 15% | Low· 0% | 0.075 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| QED1063AC | Area contract for watermain replacement in QNS and BX | Citywide | Construction Procurement | $35.1M | Low· 3% | Low· 12% | 0.075 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEKBN9 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, North Brooklyn | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $10.8M | Low· 14% | Low· 1% | 0.075 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| 70MULBREC | 70 MULBERRY STREET - RECONSTRUCTION | Manhattan | Construction Procurement | $198.4M | Low· 15% | Low· 0% | 0.074 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| DOTSEQ01 | Southeast Queens - DOT Priority Grids Group 1 (SEQPGRD1) | Queens | (Cancelled) | $16.8M | Low· 9% | Low· 6% | 0.074 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| LBM18BVOH | Brownsville Overhaul | Brooklyn | Construction | $36.9M | Low· 4% | Low· 11% | 0.073 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SEQS25 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, South Queens | Queens | (Completed) | $13.5M | Low· 12% | Low· 3% | 0.072 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| PV354HVAC | — | — | Construction | $3.0M | Low· 14% | Low· 0% | 0.072 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SE-889 | SEQ - New Storm Sewer N. Conduit Ave | Queens | Design | $122.0M | Low· 13% | Low· 1% | 0.072 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-SEKN25 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, North Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Construction Procurement | $7.8M | Low· 10% | Low· 4% | 0.072 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| SEQ002572 | TRENCH RESTORATION #6 (COMMUNITY BOARD 12 TO 14) | Queens | (Pending) | $3.0M | Low· 14% | Low· 0% | 0.071 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| LQCORENOV | CORONA : Branch Expansion and Renovation | Queens | (Initiation) | $42.7M | Low· 12% | Low· 2% | 0.070 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HH115BWFA | BRIARWOOD - FIRE ALARM UPGRADE | Queens | (Completed) | $1.7M | Low· 13% | Low· 1% | 0.070 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| QED1040B | Dist. WM work on Woodhaven Blvd, Phase B (HWQ100SBB) | Queens | Design | $19.5M | Low· 8% | Low· 6% | 0.069 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEX20047 | Replacement of combined sewer in Burr Ave | Bronx | (Completed) | $22.1M | Low· 12% | Low· 2% | 0.069 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWCURB10 | Curb Reconstruction | Citywide | Construction | $4.1M | Low· 9% | Low· 4% | 0.068 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR20Q1 | Pedestrian Ramp Rehabilitation - Queens | Queens | (Completed) | $15.3M | Low· 12% | Low· 1% | 0.068 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-GUN22 | Emergency Guniting of Sewers, Citywide | Citywide | (Completed) | $12.5M | Low· 13% | Low· 0% | 0.068 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HBFDR14BP | East 14th St (near ConEd Plant) Bike Path | Manhattan | (On-hold) | $183.0M | Low· 12% | Low· 1% | 0.067 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ002573 | COMBINED SEWER IN 200 ST - BELL BLVD AND 15 RD | Queens | (Pending) | $2.1M | Low· 12% | Low· 1% | 0.067 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-SEQN26 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, North Queens | Queens | (Completed) | $10.3M | Low· 12% | Low· 1% | 0.066 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HWPR23KQ | Standard Upgrades Ped Ramps - Brooklyn and Queens | Citywide | Construction | $21.2M | Low· 13% | Low· 0% | 0.066 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SEC22 | Emergency Reconstruction of Sewers, Citywide | Citywide | (Pending) | $36.2M | Low· 13% | Low· 0% | 0.066 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| MED679 | Dist WM & SE Rpl work- W. 42nd St btwn 7 & 8 Av,MN, HWM42PSM | Manhattan | Design | $20.5M | Low· 8% | Low· 5% | 0.065 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEBLQX01 | Reconstruction of existing sewers from back log QN & BX | Citywide | Construction | $20.9M | Low· 4% | Low· 9% | 0.065 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR23QX | Standard Upgrades Ped Ramps - Queens and the Bronx | Citywide | Construction | $20.8M | Low· 12% | Low· 1% | 0.065 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| ACEDCA702 | DCLA - REPLACEMENT OF 7 AIR HANDLING UNITS | Manhattan | Construction | $3.1M | Low· 13% | Low· 0% | 0.065 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-SEX24 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, The Bronx | Bronx | (Pending) | $9.5M | Low· 8% | Low· 5% | 0.065 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| REG-HP06 | RECONSTRUCTION OF REGULATOR HP-06 | Bronx | (Completed) | $63.0M | Low· 13% | Low· 0% | 0.064 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SER200322 | New Storm Sewers in Saxon Ave & Draper Pl, SI, HWR00511 | Staten Island | Design | $94.3M | Low· 10% | Low· 3% | 0.064 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER002188 | RECONST OF SAN SEWER IN HAUGHWOOT AV, SI | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.4M | Low· 12% | Low· 0% | 0.063 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SETVDDC17 | DDC Cleaning and Televising of Sewers, Citywide | Citywide | Close-out | $3.7M | Low· 4% | Low· 8% | 0.062 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| LQSZ-RENO | SOUTH OZONE PARK - Branch Expansion and Renovation | Queens | (Initiation) | $20.7M | Low· 9% | Low· 4% | 0.061 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| C75EWGRVC | Emergency Work for GRVC | Bronx | (Completed) | $15.0M | Low· 12% | Low· 0% | 0.060 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SEC25 | Emergency Reconstruction of Sewers, Citywide | Citywide | (Pending) | $28.3M | Low· 5% | Low· 6% | 0.059 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HH115SFFA | Stockholm at 99-103 Stockholm St, 11221 - Fire Alarm Upgrade | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $1.0M | Low· 12% | Low· 0% | 0.059 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-SER22 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, Staten Island | Staten Island | (Completed) | $10.5M | Low· 10% | Low· 1% | 0.059 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PS-349 | REHABILITATION OF DAMAGED ROCKAWAY INTERCEPTOR | Queens | Construction | $27.1M | Low· 5% | Low· 7% | 0.059 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| MED678 | WM Rplmt Lexington Av btwn E 45 & E 49 St, MN HWMMLEXAV-DB | Manhattan | (Design Built) | $11.2M | Low· 10% | Low· 1% | 0.057 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| BBJ-M | Boro Based Jail New Manhattan Detention Facility DesignBuild | Manhattan | (Design Built) | $4.3B | Low· 0% | Low· 11% | 0.056 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| P-413SCS1 | Brookville Park - Cons. PRB | Queens | (Design Built) | $5.3M | Low· 9% | Low· 2% | 0.056 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-WMC25 | Citywide Emergency Reconstruction of Water Mains | Citywide | (Pending) | $17.4M | Low· 2% | Low· 9% | 0.056 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-GUN26 | Emergency Guniting of Sewers, Citywide | Citywide | Construction Procurement | $12.3M | Low· 5% | Low· 6% | 0.056 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SEKS26 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, South Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Construction Procurement | $11.6M | Low· 6% | Low· 5% | 0.055 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |