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Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EC-SEX22 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, The Bronx | Bronx | (Closeout) | $12.7M | Low· 8% | Low· 2% | 0.054 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWS2023K | Prior Notice Sidewalks - Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Construction | $11.8M | Low· 10% | Low· 1% | 0.054 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| QED-1055 | Dist. WM work in Jay Ave btwn Borden Ave & 66th St, QNS | Queens | Construction | $16.3M | Low· 5% | Low· 5% | 0.052 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SEQS24 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, South Queens | Queens | Construction | $13.8M | Low· 3% | Low· 7% | 0.052 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200558 | Install of storm SE & replacement of sanitary SE&dist.WM | Queens | Close-out | $15.5M | Low· 10% | Low· 0% | 0.052 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR21K1 | Rehabilitation of Standard Ped Ramps - Brooklyn | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $15.9M | Low· 9% | Low· 1% | 0.051 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPR22MC | FY24 Non-Standard Pedestrian Ramp Upgrades | Citywide | Design | $17.8M | Low· 5% | Low· 5% | 0.050 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HWPR22KRC | FY24 Non-Standard Pedestrian Ramp Upgrades | Citywide | Design | $21.1M | Low· 5% | Low· 5% | 0.049 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| EC-SEX26 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, The Bronx | Bronx | Construction Procurement | $6.5M | Low· 8% | Low· 2% | 0.048 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR20K2 | Pedestrian Ramp Rehabilitation - Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Construction | $14.4M | Low· 9% | Low· 0% | 0.048 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| S216-401A | EAST 91st ST MARINE TRANSFER STATION | Manhattan | (Completed) | $272.1M | Low· 9% | Low· 0% | 0.048 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HH115BWKF | BUSHWICK - FIRE ALARM SYSTEM UPGRADE | Brooklyn | (Completed) | $1.6M | Low· 9% | Low· 0% | 0.046 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-LC24 | Emergency Sewer Lining Contract, Citywide | Citywide | (Pending) | $7.2M | Low· 4% | Low· 5% | 0.044 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWPR22MXC | FY24 Non-Standard Pedestrian Ramp Upgrades | Citywide | Design | $20.5M | Low· 5% | Low· 4% | 0.044 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| EC-SEKN24 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, North Brooklyn | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $8.1M | Low· 5% | Low· 4% | 0.044 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| EC-WMC24 | Emergency Construction of Water Mains, Citywide | Citywide | (Pending) | $18.0M | Low· 2% | Low· 7% | 0.043 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SANDRESPC | Citywide Resiliency Measures, ESCR, Parallel Conveyance | Citywide | Construction | $211.1M | Low· 8% | Low· 1% | 0.043 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| C75EWAMKC | Emergency Work for AMKC | Bronx | Construction | $22.7M | Low· 8% | Low· 0% | 0.043 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR23K1 | Standard Upgrades Ped Ramps - Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Construction | $20.9M | Low· 7% | Low· 1% | 0.043 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| P-1TREREC | Construction of a New Recreation Center at Tremont Park | Bronx | Construction Procurement | $104.4M | Low· 0% | Low· 8% | 0.042 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWR669B | RECONSTRUCTION OF WEED AVENUE (SER20049) | Staten Island | (Pending) | $6.0M | Low· 8% | Low· 0% | 0.042 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWS2023R | Prior Notice Sidewalks - Staten Island | Staten Island | Construction | $5.3M | Low· 4% | Low· 4% | 0.042 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWQ1210 | Jamaica Avenue Safety and Streetscape Improvements | Queens | Design | $78.9M | Low· 8% | Low· 1% | 0.041 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| P-308RPCS | Ruppert Park PRB | Manhattan | (Design Built) | $4.3M | Low· 4% | Low· 4% | 0.040 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR23KR | Standard Upgrades Ped Ramps - Brooklyn and Staten Island | Citywide | Construction | $22.3M | Low· 7% | Low· 1% | 0.040 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HH115BMEP | BUSHWICK FAMILY BOILER RECONSTRUCTION | Brooklyn | Construction | $5.2M | Low· 6% | Low· 2% | 0.040 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWPR20K1 | Pedestrian Ramps Rehabilitation - Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Close-out | $14.4M | Low· 8% | Low· 0% | 0.039 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-SER23 | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, Staten Island | Staten Island | (Closeout) | $12.5M | Low· 7% | Low· 0% | 0.038 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SELCDDC11 | DDC Sewer Lining Contract, Citywide | Citywide | Construction | $10.5M | Low· 2% | Low· 6% | 0.038 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| P-4QNHSR1 | Queens Historical Society Construction and Renovation to DDC | Queens | Design | $1.8M | Low· 6% | Low· 2% | 0.038 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| EC-SEC23 | Emergency Construction of Sewers, Citywide | Citywide | (Completed) | $33.1M | Low· 7% | Low· 0% | 0.038 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SE-842A | SEQ - Storm, Sanitary Sewers & WM in 225th Street | Queens | (On-Hold) | $66.4M | Low· 7% | Low· 1% | 0.037 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ-SACBA | SEQ -Design & Constr St. Albans Cloudburst Green, HWQ1196 | Queens | Design | $2.9M | Low· 5% | Low· 2% | 0.037 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ200605 | SEQ - Installation of relief sewer, storm sewers, and WM | Queens | Design | $9.1M | Low· 4% | Low· 3% | 0.037 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| SER002204 | SAN SEWER IN WAGNER ST-ST JOHN AV & MAPPED SEWER EASEMENT | Staten Island | (Completed) | $1.5M | Low· 6% | Low· 0% | 0.035 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HED580 | Dist WM & SE Rpl E161 St -Gerard &Cortlandt Av,BX, HWX100SBC | Bronx | (Cancelled) | $11.6M | Low· 5% | Low· 2% | 0.034 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| PV655QCFM | QCFM - Queen's County Farm Museum Greenhouse Restoration | Queens | (Completed) | $3.6M | Low· 7% | Low· 0% | 0.034 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWK1669B | 4th Ave Safety Improvements - Phase B, BED829 | Brooklyn | Design | $149.0M | Low· 5% | Low· 2% | 0.034 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HWS23QMWB | Prior Notice Sidewalks - Queens | Queens | (Completed) | $1.6M | Low· 6% | Low· 1% | 0.034 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PW80DYCD2 | 2 LAFAYETTE STREET- DYCD RELOCATION | Manhattan | Construction | $71.8M | Low· 6% | Low· 0% | 0.033 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| C75EWRMSC | Emergency Work for RMSC | Bronx | Construction | $87.7M | Low· 6% | Low· 0% | 0.031 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| RED395AC | Area Contract Replacmt & Install Dist WM throughout BK & SI | Citywide | Construction | $29.2M | Low· 5% | Low· 1% | 0.031 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| C75EWNIC | Emergency Work for NIC | Bronx | Close-out | $21.6M | Low· 6% | Low· 0% | 0.030 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| NDF-CRLYN | Mary Cali Dalton Recreation Center DB | Staten Island | (Design Built) | $100.1M | Low· 6% | Low· 0% | 0.030 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| C75EWRNDC | Emergency Work for RNDC | Bronx | Construction | $35.4M | Low· 6% | Low· 0% | 0.029 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| HWP24MC3 | Non-Standard Ped Ramps - Manhattan | Manhattan | Design | $20.2M | Low· 5% | Low· 1% | 0.029 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SEK002390 | Guniting of Outfall Sewers on Wolcott St BKLYN, SANDRDHK | Brooklyn | Construction | $883.3K | Low· 4% | Low· 2% | 0.028 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| LQSARENOV | ST. ALBANS RENOVATION | Queens | Design | $12.2M | Low· 4% | Low· 2% | 0.028 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| P-1HARTIS | Hart Island | Bronx | Close-out | $53.2M | Low· 4% | Low· 1% | 0.027 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| GKCI05-1A | GI- CONS OF ROW GREEN INFRASTRUCTURE IN CI-005 PHASE 1A | Brooklyn | Construction | $24.6M | Low· 5% | Low· 0% | 0.027 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |