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Delay and cost-overrun probabilities for NYC DDC-managed capital projects using public sources plus Checkbook NYC. Concourse research artifact. Not an official DDC risk score or vendor rating. Model outputs are correlational, not causal.
| FMS ID | Project | Boro | Phase | Budget | Delay risk | Overrun risk | Combined | Top contributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWPR19K1 | Pedestrian Ramp Rehabilitation - Brooklyn | Brooklyn | (Pending) | $13.5M | High· 63% | Low· 0% | 0.316 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SECBX1 | CATCH BASIN RECONSTRUCTION PROJECT IN BRONX | Bronx | (Completed) | $4.6M | High· 63% | Low· 0% | 0.314 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWQ631B-3 | ALMEDA AV - PHASE III | Queens | (Cancelled) | $1.3M | High· 60% | Low· 3% | 0.314 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| RED-355 | WATER MAIN REPLACEMENT IN VARIOUS LOCATIONS, CW | Staten Island | (Pending) | $10.4M | High· 62% | Low· 0% | 0.314 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWS2025K | Prior Notice Sidewalks - Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Construction Procurement | $15.1M | Low· 0% | High· 62% | 0.313 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ200481 | STORM SEWERS IN EDGEMERE - PHASE II (B1) | Queens | (Pending) | $6.3M | High· 62% | Low· 0% | 0.313 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| MED644 | Rplmt WM in Broadway btwn E 21 ST & W 25 St | Manhattan | Design | $80.5M | High· 57% | Low· 6% | 0.312 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| EC-LC25M | Emergency Sewer Lining Contract, Manhattan | Manhattan | Design | $6.0M | Moderate· 35% | Low· 27% | 0.311 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SE-842 | Southeast Queens Initiative Program | Queens | Construction Procurement | $16.3M | High· 56% | Low· 6% | 0.311 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| BED838 | Distribution WM in Prospect Park West, Brooklyn | Brooklyn | Design | $9.2M | High· 59% | Low· 4% | 0.310 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| QED1060 | Trunk and Dist. WM repl. at Queens Blvd. 51 ave & 67 St. QNS | Queens | Design | $63.4M | Moderate· 49% | Low· 13% | 0.309 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HED585 | New Trunk WM install from W 181st & Jerome Ave, BX,HWXJEROME | Bronx | Design | $17.0M | Moderate· 51% | Low· 10% | 0.307 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ200545 | NEW STORM SEWER IN ELKMONT AVE. | Queens | (Completed) | $4.6M | High· 61% | Low· 0% | 0.303 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200456 | Storm sewer in 204 St betw Northern Blvd & 46 Ave | Queens | (Pending) | $2.5M | High· 60% | Low· 0% | 0.301 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200534 | STRM SWR EXT/REPLACE AT SANTIAGO ST. | Queens | (Closeout) | $9.9M | High· 60% | Low· 0% | 0.301 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SECB03QA | RECONSTRUCTION OF CATCH BASINS AND PEDESTRIAN RAMPS | Queens | (Pending) | $1.4M | High· 60% | Low· 0% | 0.299 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200387 | STORM SEWERS IN READS LANE | Queens | (Pending) | $1.0M | High· 60% | Low· 0% | 0.299 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| HWP24MC2 | Non-Standard Ped Ramps - Manhattan | Manhattan | Design | $20.7M | High· 56% | Low· 4% | 0.298 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HWCB25QXM | Curb Reconstruction - Queens, Bronx and Manhattan | Citywide | Construction | $7.8M | Low· 13% | Moderate· 46% | 0.298 | Spend to date is a large share of total budget relative to progress on the project's milestones. |
| SEQ200523 | STRM & SAN SWR IN NEW HAVEN B/T B22 ST & GRASSMERE TERRACE, | Queens | (Completed) | $7.7M | High· 59% | Low· 0% | 0.294 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEX0201ZC | Reconstruction of Existing Sewers, the Bronx | Bronx | (Completed) | $13.3M | High· 58% | Low· 0% | 0.294 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SE-823 | SEQ - 229th Street Laurelton Area - Part 1, Phase A (HWQ823) | Queens | (Completed) | $91.0M | High· 58% | Low· 0% | 0.294 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQNS003 | SEQ - Sewer When & Where Contract in SE Queens (HWQ1195) | Queens | Construction | $25.3M | High· 57% | Low· 1% | 0.292 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| NDF-IBZ | NDF - ENY IBZ Improvements, SEK002384 | Brooklyn | Construction Procurement | $28.0M | Moderate· 46% | Low· 12% | 0.290 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER00201X | Reconstruction of existing sewers | Staten Island | Construction Procurement | $7.1M | High· 58% | Low· 0% | 0.289 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SE-782 | STR & SAN SEWER IN MARCY AV - STAFFORD AV & LAMONT AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $11.1M | High· 57% | Low· 0% | 0.286 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200562 | SEQ - Storm Sewer & WM Work in 158th Street (HWQ121B3) | Queens | Design | $17.9M | Moderate· 54% | Low· 3% | 0.284 | Cumulative budget growth since the earliest snapshot is well above typical peer projects. |
| HWP24QC1 | Non-Standard Ped Ramps - Queens | Queens | (Initiation) | $20.2M | Moderate· 49% | Low· 7% | 0.283 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| HWX407 | Mott Haven Pedestrian and Cyclist Safety Improvements | Bronx | (Initiation) | $96.6M | High· 56% | Low· 0% | 0.280 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| SEQ002518 | SAN SEWER IN WHITESTONE EXPRESSWAY - PHASE I | Queens | (Pending) | $684.9K | High· 56% | Low· 0% | 0.279 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEN002146 | COMBINED SEWERS IN BROADWAY - CORTLAND ST AND RECTOR ST | Manhattan | (Completed) | $4.9M | High· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.278 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200159 | STORM SEWER IN FOREST AV - UNION AV & HUDSON PL | Staten Island | (Pending) | $2.3M | High· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.278 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SECB04QA | RECONSTRUCTION OF CATCH BASINS AND PEDESTRIAN RAMPS | Queens | (Pending) | $3.1M | High· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.276 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ002548 | SANITARY SEWER IN 99 AV - FRANCIS LEWIS BLVD AND 211 PL | Queens | (Pending) | $1.8M | High· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.276 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200392 | STORM SEWERS IN SMITH ST - 120 AV TO BAISLEY BLVD | Queens | (Pending) | $3.6M | Moderate· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.276 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ200327 | STM SEWERS IN 25 AV, QNS | Queens | (Pending) | $2.8M | Moderate· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.276 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ002545 | COMBINED SEWERS IN SHAFT 19B IN GRAND AV - PAGE PL TO 54 ST | Queens | (Pending) | $2.3M | Moderate· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.276 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEQ002534 | SEWER REPLACEMENT - QUEENS NORTH III | Queens | (Pending) | $1.8M | Moderate· 55% | Low· 0% | 0.276 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| PV525STU2 | SMH - New Bldg Phase 2 | Manhattan | (Construction) | $3.7M | Moderate· 50% | Low· 5% | 0.273 | Contractor identity is a correlational (not causal) factor: peer projects with similar contract profiles contribute to the estimate. |
| HED595 | Dist&Trunk WM E169 Step St.b/t Clay & Webster Av BX,HWXS1011 | Bronx | Design | $9.6M | Moderate· 46% | Low· 9% | 0.273 | Budget has held close to its original value across the project's public history. |
| SANBROAD2 | BROAD CHANNEL LIBRARY GUTTERS AND LEADERS | Queens | (Completed) | $32.0K | Moderate· 51% | Low· 3% | 0.270 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| GQ-BBCLST | ROW Infill for Bowery Bay ROW GI and PP | Queens | Design | $41.7M | Moderate· 45% | Low· 8% | 0.268 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SEC20004P | CITYWIDE EMERGENCY SEWER RECONSTRUCTION | Citywide | (Pending) | $31.8M | Moderate· 53% | Low· 1% | 0.266 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SEKDSMH23 | Reconstruction and repair of deep sewer manholes, Bklyn | Brooklyn | Pre-Design | $48.3M | Low· 7% | Moderate· 46% | 0.266 | Historical outcomes for projects in this ten-year-plan category contribute to the estimate. |
| SER002255 | SANITARY SEWER IN FOREST AV - UNION AV & HUDSON PL | Staten Island | (Pending) | $6.1M | Moderate· 52% | Low· 0% | 0.261 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200157 | STM SEWERS IN DRUMGOOLE RD WEST - HUGUENOT AV & HEENAN AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $3.0M | Moderate· 52% | Low· 0% | 0.261 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER002236 | SANITARY SEWER IN ROSEDALE AV- HOLCOMB AV & ANACONDA ST | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.8M | Moderate· 52% | Low· 0% | 0.261 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200149 | STORM SEWER IN MAINE AV - DICKIE AV AND WATERS AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $1.7M | Moderate· 52% | Low· 0% | 0.261 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER002283 | SAN SEWERS IN DRUMGOOLE RD WEST - HUGUENOT AV & HEENAN AV | Staten Island | (Pending) | $2.7M | Moderate· 52% | Low· 0% | 0.260 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |
| SER200171 | STORM SEWER IN DALTON AV - MORLEY AV AND BISHOP ST | Staten Island | (Pending) | $2.0M | Moderate· 52% | Low· 0% | 0.260 | Spend to date is a small share of total budget, suggesting the project has not yet crossed a material spending threshold. |